Montserrat host Nicaragua in the CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Montserrat's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Turks and Caicos Islands 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nicaragua's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Dominican Republic 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Montserrat arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Montserrat and 1.3 for Nicaragua. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Montserrat 2–1 Nicaragua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montserrat48%fair 2.08 · @10.00
Draw13%fair 7.48 · @5.00
Nicaragua38%fair 2.60 · @1.22
3.80Expected goals
2.54Montserrat xG
1.25Nicaragua xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Montserrat 2.5 – 1.3 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Montserrat
Nicaragua
Attack vs CONCACAF Nations League average
+26%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
+47%
Our expected goals here
3.32
0.79
Our own ratings from every CONCACAF Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montserrat to win
48%
2.08
10.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.67
Half-time result
Montserrat ahead at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montserrat / FT Montserrat
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.99
–
Form
Montserrat – last 4
WWWW
6 Oct
vs Turks and Caicos Islands
4–1
W
1 Oct
@ British Virgin Islands
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs British Virgin Islands
3–0
W
23 Sep
@ Turks and Caicos Islands
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nicaragua – last 6
LLLLLD
5 Oct
vs Dominican Republic
1–2
L
2 Oct
vs Costa Rica
0–3
L
28 Sep
@ Curaçao
1–6
L
25 Sep
@ Dominican Republic
2–3
L
5 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–4
L
29 May
@ South Africa
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montserrat and Nicaragua.
What is the prediction for Montserrat vs Nicaragua?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Montserrat vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers Montserrat have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nicaragua 38%.
How many goals will there be in Montserrat vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montserrat vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is Montserrat 2–1 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Montserrat vs Nicaragua?
Montserrat vs Nicaragua (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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