Guatemala vs Canada prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guatemala 0.9 – 2.0 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Canada travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 19% for Guatemala.
Guatemala have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Canada have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Guatemala, 2.0 for Canada). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.93 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Canada to win | 63% | 1.58 | 1.37 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | 1.31 |
| Half-time result | Canada ahead at half-time | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Canada / FT Canada | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 11% | 9.19 | – |
Form
Guatemala – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Suriname | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Suriname | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Sep | vs El Salvador | 6–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Jamaica | 2–3 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Ecuador | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Jun | @ Czech Republic | 1–3 | L |
Canada – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ USA | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Peru | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Chile | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Jul | vs Morocco | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | @ South Africa | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guatemala and Canada.
More CONCACAF Nations League predictions
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USAFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guatemala vs Canada?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guatemala vs Canada?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Canada 63%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Canada?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Guatemala vs Canada?
Guatemala vs Canada (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.