Haiti vs USA prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.93
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Haiti 1.0 – 2.2 USA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
USA travel as clear favourites – 66% to win, against 17% for Haiti.
Haiti have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. USA have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. USA come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.0 for Haiti, 2.2 for USA). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.93 is better than our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USA to win | 66% | 1.51 | 1.24 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 83% | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Half-time result | USA ahead at half-time | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USA / FT USA | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 10% | 10.18 | – |
Form
Haiti – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Costa Rica | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ Dominican Republic | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | vs Costa Rica | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Trinidad and Tobago | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Jun | @ Morocco | 2–4 | L |
| 20 Jun | @ Brazil | 0–3 | L |
USA – last 6
| 7 Oct | vs Canada | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Mexico | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Chile | 4–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peru | 4–1 | W |
| 7 Jul | vs Belgium | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Jul | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and USA.
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CanadaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Haiti vs USA?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.93.
Who will win Haiti vs USA?
On our numbers Haiti have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and USA 66%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs USA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Haiti vs USA?
Haiti vs USA (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.