The Primera División Apertura sees Penarol take on Wanderers on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Penarol are 5th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Wanderers sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Penarol's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Wanderers's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Progreso 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished Penarol 5–1 Wanderers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Penarol and 0.6 for Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penarol 69%, draw 22%, Wanderers 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Penarol to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Penarol 1–0 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penarol69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.80
Wanderers9%fair 11.14 · @6.50
2.49Expected goals
1.93Penarol xG
0.56Wanderers xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Penarol 1.9 – 0.6 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Penarol to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Penarol vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Penarol have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wanderers 9%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Penarol 1–0 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Wanderers?
Penarol vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
