Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Racing Montevideo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Largo travel to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 31 October (14:00 WAT) to face Racing Montevideo. Racing Montevideo are 6th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Cerro Largo sit 15th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Racing Montevideo's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Defensor Sporting 3–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cerro Largo's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Boston River 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Racing Montevideo and 0.6 for Cerro Largo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Racing Montevideo 61%, draw 25%, Cerro Largo 14%.
Safer route: Racing Montevideo or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Racing Montevideo to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Racing Montevideo61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Cerro Largo14%fair 7.10 · @4.80
2.09Expected goals
1.52Racing Montevideo xG
0.57Cerro Largo xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.5 – 0.6 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Racing Montevideo to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerro Largo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
