Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStenhousemuir to win ✓70% · @1.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers preview and prediction
The match
Berwick Rangers travel to Ochilview Park in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT) to face Stenhousemuir.
Form guide
Stenhousemuir's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Livingston 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Berwick Rangers's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to East Stirlingshire 2–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Stenhousemuir and 1.2 for Berwick Rangers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 73% and both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 58% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Stenhousemuir 2–1 Berwick Rangers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenhousemuir70%fair 1.43 · @1.12
Draw15%fair 6.72 · @7.00
Berwick Rangers15%fair 6.64 · @17.00
3.96Expected goals
2.74Stenhousemuir xG
1.22Berwick Rangers xG
58%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 2.7 – 1.2 Berwick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stenhousemuir to win✓
70%
1.43
1.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Half-time result
Stenhousemuir ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stenhousemuir / FT Stenhousemuir✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Stenhousemuir – last 6
LLLDLW
30 Oct
vs Livingston
0–3
L
27 Oct
vs Dunfermline
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Partick
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Raith Rovers
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Inverness CT
0–2
L
25 Sep
@ Ayr Utd
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Berwick Rangers – last 6
LLDLWL
31 Oct
vs East Stirlingshire
2–5
L
28 Oct
@ Stirling University
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Gala Fairydean Rovers
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Linlithgow Rose
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Queen of the South
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Cowdenbeath
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Berwick Rangers.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Berwick Rangers 15%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 2–1 Berwick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?
Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aberdeen U211
Queen's Park1
Airdrie United5
Elgin City0
Annan Athletic0
Ayr Utd2
Arbroath1
Queen of the South0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2
Dunfermline4
Clydebank1
Alloa Athletic0
East Kilbride7
Stirling Albion3
Edinburgh City0
Partick3