Challenge Cup · Scotland · Gayfield Park
Arbroath vs Queen of the South prediction & analysis
Arbroath to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arbroath 2.0 – 0.9 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arbroath are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 15% for Queen of the South.
Arbroath have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Queen of the South have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. Queen of the South come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Arbroath, 0.9 for Queen of the South). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Arbroath to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arbroath to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Arbroath or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Arbroath ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arbroath / FT Arbroath ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.79 | – |
Form
Arbroath – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Raith Rovers | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Livingston | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Morton | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Partick | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Queen's Park | 2–1 | W |
Queen of the South – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ East Fife | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Alloa Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Ross County | 1–7 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Berwick Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Peterhead | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Cove Rangers | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Queen of the South.
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Formartine United0
Cove Rangers2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Queen of the South?
Our pick is Arbroath to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arbroath vs Queen of the South?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Queen of the South 15%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Queen of the South?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Arbroath vs Queen of the South?
Arbroath vs Queen of the South (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.