Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLivingston to win ✓62% · @1.38
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓11% · fair 9.16
Spartans vs Livingston preview and prediction
The match
Spartans host Livingston in the Challenge Cup on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Ainslie Park.
Form guide
Spartans's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Annan Athletic 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Livingston's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Stenhousemuir 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Spartans and 2.0 for Livingston. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Spartans 0–2 Livingston. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartans15%fair 6.77 · @7.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Livingston62%fair 1.60 · @1.38
2.95Expected goals
0.91Spartans xG
2.04Livingston xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Spartans 0.9 – 2.0 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✓
62%
1.60
1.38
Double chance
Livingston or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Half-time result
Livingston ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
11%
9.16
–
Form
Spartans – last 6
WWLDWL
31 Oct
vs Annan Athletic
3–2
W
24 Oct
@ Lochee United
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Stranraer
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Edinburgh City
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Kelty Hearts
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Livingston – last 6
WWDLLW
30 Oct
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Arbroath
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Dunfermline
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Partick
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Ayr Utd
1–2
L
25 Sep
@ Raith Rovers
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Livingston.
What is the prediction for Spartans vs Livingston?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Spartans vs Livingston?
On our numbers Spartans have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Livingston 62%.
How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Livingston?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Livingston?
Our predicted score is Spartans 0–2 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spartans vs Livingston?
Spartans vs Livingston (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aberdeen U211
Queen's Park1
Airdrie United5
Elgin City0
Annan Athletic0
Ayr Utd2
Arbroath1
Queen of the South0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2
Dunfermline4
Clydebank1
Alloa Athletic0
East Kilbride7
Stirling Albion3
Edinburgh City0
Partick3