Tuesday, 10 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Challenge Cup · Scotland · Cappielow Park

Morton

WWWLL
0–1
FT

Kelty Hearts

LLWLL

Morton vs Kelty Hearts prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMorton to win ✗69% · @1.45
Double chanceMorton or draw ✗90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18

Morton vs Kelty Hearts preview and prediction

The match

The Challenge Cup sees Morton take on Kelty Hearts on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Cappielow Park.

Form guide

Morton's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Partick 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Kelty Hearts's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Elgin City 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Morton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.9 for Morton and 1.2 for Kelty Hearts. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morton 2–1 Kelty Hearts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Morton69%fair 1.46 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.90
Kelty Hearts10%fair 9.76 · @5.75
4.18Expected goals
2.93Morton xG
1.25Kelty Hearts xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
4–16%
1–16%

From our goals model: Morton 2.9 – 1.2 Kelty Hearts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorton to win ✗69%1.461.45
Double chanceMorton or draw ✗90%1.111.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.131.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗72%1.391.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.922.10 ▲
Half-time resultMorton ahead at half-time ✗55%1.83–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morton / FT Morton ✗49%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.18–

Form

Morton – last 6

WWWLLL
31 Oct@ Partick3–2W
17 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
10 Oct@ Arbroath2–1W
3 Octvs Raith Rovers1–2L
25 Sep@ Inverness CT0–2L
19 Sepvs Dunfermline0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kelty Hearts – last 6

LLWLLW
31 Octvs Elgin City0–1L
24 Oct@ Edinburgh City1–4L
17 Octvs Forfar Athletic2–1W
13 Oct@ East Kilbride1–2L
10 Oct@ Stirling Albion1–2L
3 Oct@ Spartans2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morton and Kelty Hearts.

Morton vs Kelty Hearts head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen U211 Queen's Park1 Pens 2–4 120%3.70X16%4.33264%1.65 2Queen's Park to win 64%@1.65 ✗
FT Airdrie United5 Elgin City0 165%1.70X21%3.70214%4.00 1XAirdrie United or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Annan Athletic0 Ayr Utd2 112%5.50X23%4.00264%1.45 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Queen of the South0 165%1.62X20%3.75215%4.33 1Arbroath to win 65%@1.62 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Dunfermline4 119%8.00X16%4.75264%1.28 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Clydebank1 Alloa Athletic0 141%2.50X21%3.60238%2.35 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT East Kilbride7 Stirling Albion3 163%1.50X22%4.00215%5.25 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Partick3 117%5.25X20%4.33263%1.45 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morton vs Kelty Hearts?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Morton vs Kelty Hearts?

On our numbers Morton have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kelty Hearts 10%.

How many goals will there be in Morton vs Kelty Hearts?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morton vs Kelty Hearts?

Our predicted score is Morton 2–1 Kelty Hearts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Morton vs Kelty Hearts?

Morton vs Kelty Hearts (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.