Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes de Merida FC to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceEstudiantes de Merida FC or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC travel to face Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Copa Venezuela on Wednesday 21 October (22:00 WAT).
Form guide
Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Metropolitanos FC 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caracas FC's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Rayo Zuliano 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Caracas FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 August 2026, finished Caracas FC 2–2 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.1 for Caracas FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estudiantes de Merida FC 64%, draw 21%, Caracas FC 15%.
Safer route: Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Caracas FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.10
Caracas FC15%fair 6.63 · @3.80
3.50Expected goals
2.38Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.12Caracas FC xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2.4 – 1.1 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes de Merida FC to win✗
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Estudiantes de Merida FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes de Merida FC / FT Estudiantes de Merida FC✗
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Caracas FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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