Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio preview and prediction
The match
Danubio travel to face Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 24 October (23:30 WAT). Deportivo Maldonado are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Danubio sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Club Nacional 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Danubio's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Central Espanol 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 May 2026, finished Deportivo Maldonado 3–1 Danubio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.8 for Danubio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Safer route: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Maldonado or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Danubio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Danubio20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.53Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.76Danubio xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 – 0.8 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Danubio 20%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
