Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAraz to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Şimal vs Araz preview and prediction
The match
Şimal host Araz in the Cup on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Baku Sportinq 5–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Araz's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Qabala 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Şimal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 19%, draw 17%, Araz 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Araz to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal19%fair 5.28 · @3.50
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @3.50
Araz64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Form
Şimal – last 6
WWDLDL
22 Oct
vs Baku Sportinq
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ Mingəçevir
4–1
W
9 Oct
vs Xankəndi FK
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Şahdağ
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ MOIK
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Araz – last 6
LLLLDL
23 Oct
vs Qabala
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Kapaz
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Turan
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Qarabag
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Araz.
Our pick is Araz to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Şimal vs Araz?
On our numbers Şimal have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Araz 64%.
When is Şimal vs Araz?
Şimal vs Araz (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Qabala3
Mingəçevir0
Səbail1
Zira1