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Cup · Azerbaidjan

Qabala

WLLLL
3–0
FT

Qabala vs Mingəçevir prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultQabala to win ✓78% · @1.08
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓95% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60

Qabala vs Mingəçevir preview and prediction

The match

Mingəçevir travel to face Qabala in the Cup on Tuesday 27 October (14:00 WAT).

Form guide

Qabala's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Araz 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Mingəçevir's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Xankəndi FK 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 May 2026, finished Qabala 2–0 Mingəçevir.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.4 for Qabala and 0.5 for Mingəçevir. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 39% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Qabala 3–0 Mingəçevir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Qabala78%fair 1.27 · @1.08
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @9.50
Mingəçevir5%fair 18.54 · @34.00
2.98Expected goals
2.44Qabala xG
0.54Mingəçevir xG
39%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–012%
3–012%
2–18%
4–08%
1–17%

From our goals model: Qabala 2.4 – 0.5 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQabala to win ✓78%1.271.08
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓95%1.061.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultQabala ahead at half-time ✓58%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qabala / FT Qabala ✓55%1.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.60–

Form

Qabala – last 6

WLLLLW
23 Oct@ Araz2–1W
17 Octvs Sabah FA0–4L
10 Oct@ Sumqayıt1–4L
18 Sepvs Neftchi Baku0–3L
12 Sep@ Kapaz0–1L
4 Sepvs Imisli FK2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mingəçevir – last 6

WLLLLD
21 Oct@ Xankəndi FK1–0W
15 Octvs Şimal1–4L
9 Oct@ MOIK0–3L
17 Sepvs Cəbrayıl0–3L
10 Sep@ Səbail1–2L
4 Sepvs Zaqatala2–2D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Qabala v Mingəçevir2–0
Qabala vs Mingəçevir head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

On our numbers Qabala have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Mingəçevir 5%.

How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Our predicted score is Qabala 3–0 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Qabala vs Mingəçevir (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.