Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Aliağa FAŞ to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAliağa FAŞ to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceAliağa FAŞ or draw ✓85% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ preview and prediction
The match
Aliağa FAŞ travel to face Pazarspor in the Cup on Tuesday 27 October (11:30 WAT).
Form guide
Pazarspor's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Beykoz İshaklıspor 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Aliağa FAŞ's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.3 for Pazarspor and 2.7 for Aliağa FAŞ. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Aliağa FAŞ to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aliağa FAŞ or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pazarspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pazarspor15%fair 6.70 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
Aliağa FAŞ64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
4.00Expected goals
1.33Pazarspor xG
2.67Aliağa FAŞ xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pazarspor 1.3 – 2.7 Aliağa FAŞ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aliağa FAŞ to win✓
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Aliağa FAŞ or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Aliağa FAŞ ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aliağa FAŞ / FT Aliağa FAŞ✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Pazarspor – last 6
DWWWWL
24 Oct
@ Beykoz İshaklıspor
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Düzcespor
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Erbaaspor
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Karabük İdman Yurdu
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aliağa FAŞ – last 6
WWWWWL
24 Oct
vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Somaspor
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Menemen FK
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Erbaaspor
4–2
W
27 Sep
vs Şanlıurfaspor
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Elazığspor
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pazarspor and Aliağa FAŞ.
What is the prediction for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our pick is Aliağa FAŞ or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
On our numbers Pazarspor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aliağa FAŞ 64%.
How many goals will there be in Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our predicted score is Pazarspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Adana Adaletgucu1
Ankaragücü2
Orduspor 19672
Vanspor FK0
Sarıyer1
Ayvalikgucu0
Kocaelispor3
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor0