Cup · Turkey
Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.0 – 0.0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kocaelispor are clear favourites at home with a 77% chance of winning, against 6% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Kocaelispor have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 1.0 goals (1.0 for Kocaelispor, 0.0 for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (37%), 1–0 (35%), 2–0 (17%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kocaelispor to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Double chance | Kocaelispor or draw ✓ | 94% | 1.06 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 38% | 2.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 35% | 2.83 | – |
Form
Kocaelispor – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Göztepe | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Beşiktaş | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Gaziantep FK | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Galatasaray | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Samsunspor | 1–0 | W |
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Kırşehir Belediyespor | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Adanaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Osmaniyespor | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
Cup table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Gaziantep FK | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 |  Rizespor | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Keçiörengücü | 4 | -7 | 3 |
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Ayvalikgucu0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 6%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
When is Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.