Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCadiz to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceCadiz or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Xerez vs Cadiz preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Del Rey sees Xerez take on Cadiz on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Xerez's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Marbella 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cadiz's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat AD Ceuta FC 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xerez 17%, draw 20%, Cadiz 64%.
Safer route: Cadiz or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Cadiz to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cadiz or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Cadiz64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cadiz to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Cadiz or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Form
Xerez – last 6
WLDWLD
25 Oct
vs Marbella
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Ciudad de Lucena
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Real Betis II
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Don Benito
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 6
WLLWDL
25 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Leganes
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Tenerife
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Girona
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez and Cadiz.
Our pick is Cadiz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Xerez vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Xerez have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cadiz 64%.
When is Xerez vs Cadiz?
Xerez vs Cadiz (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Numancia3
Oviedo3
Peña Sport1
Huesca5
Atletico Calatayud0
Osasuna6
Atlético Baleares0
Eldense1
Coruxo0
Zamora2
Lebrijana2
Getafe3
Poblense1
AD Ceuta FC2
SS Reyes1
CD Coria1