The Copa Del Rey sees Poblense take on AD Ceuta FC on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla.
Form guide
Poblense's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Peña Deportiva 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Cadiz 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Poblense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poblense 11%, draw 20%, AD Ceuta FC 68%.
Safer route: AD Ceuta FC or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AD Ceuta FC to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poblense11%fair 8.72 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.00
AD Ceuta FC68%fair 1.47 · @1.62
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Ceuta FC to win✓
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Double chance
AD Ceuta FC or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.18
Form
Poblense – last 6
WDWLWL
25 Oct
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Yeclano
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Castellón II
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLLDWD
25 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–3
L
18 Oct
vs Oviedo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Castellón
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Valladolid
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poblense and AD Ceuta FC.
What is the prediction for Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is AD Ceuta FC to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Poblense have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AD Ceuta FC 68%.
When is Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.