Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense prediction & analysis

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense preview and prediction

The match

The Copa Del Rey sees Gimnástica Torrelavega take on UD Ourense on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Malecon.

Form guide

Gimnástica Torrelavega's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Ourense CF 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

UD Ourense's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Arenas Getxo 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

UD Ourense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Gimnástica Torrelavega 18%, draw 56%, UD Ourense 26%.
• Safer route: UD Ourense or draw (82%) at 1.33.
• Value angle: Draw at 3.30 – 56% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was UD Ourense or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.