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Today's tips
NM Cupen · Norway · Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg 08 FF

WLWWL
3–2
FT

Valerenga

WWLDW

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Valerenga to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultValerenga to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.37

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga preview and prediction

The match

Valerenga travel to Sarpsborg Stadion in the NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT) to face Sarpsborg 08 FF.

Form guide

Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Aalesund 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Valerenga's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat BodoGlimt 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 2.3 for Valerenga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 73%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sarpsborg 08 FF36%fair 2.75 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Valerenga41%fair 2.43 · @2.90
4.50Expected goals
2.18Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
2.32Valerenga xG
73%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%

From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.2 – 2.3 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValerenga to win ✗41%2.432.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓73%1.361.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultValerenga ahead at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valerenga / FT Valerenga ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%15.37–

Form

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

WLWWLD
25 Octvs Aalesund2–1W
18 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
11 Oct@ Aalesund4–2W
30 Sep@ Follo2–0W
18 Sepvs KFUM Oslo1–3L
13 Sep@ Fredrikstad1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Valerenga – last 6

WWLDWL
24 Oct@ BodoGlimt1–0W
18 Octvs Brann3–1W
12 Oct@ KFUM Oslo1–2L
20 Sepvs Fredrikstad1–1D
17 Sep@ Skeid4–1W
12 Sep@ Lillestrom0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga2–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga head-to-head page →

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FT Asane3 hodd0 136%2.25X23%3.40241%2.70 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Egersund1 Bryne0 160%1.85X17%3.50223%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✗
FT Kristiansund BK0 Aalesund2 140%2.10X22%3.40238%2.80 GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✗
FT Molde4 Stromsgodset1 172%1.20X21%6.0027%9.50 GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.53 ✓
FT Pors Grenland1 Kongsvinger1 AET 3–1 113%4.50X19%3.90268%1.57 GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✓
FT Ranheim2 Fredrikstad5 124%3.70X15%3.70261%1.75 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Rosenborg1 Ham-Kam2 173%1.22X15%5.80212%10.00 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valerenga 41%.

How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.