Stromsgodset travel to Aker Stadion in the NM Cupen on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT) to face Molde.
Form guide
Molde's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Fredrikstad 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Stromsgodset's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Strommen 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.8 goals: 4.6 for Molde and 2.1 for Stromsgodset. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 96% and both teams to score at 73%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Molde 4–2 Stromsgodset. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @6.00
Stromsgodset7%fair 14.88 · @9.50
6.75Expected goals
4.60Molde xG
2.15Stromsgodset xG
73%Both score
96%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–25%
7–25%
4–15%
5–25%
7–15%
3–24%
From our goals model: Molde 4.6 – 2.1 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Molde or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.53 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
56%
1.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–2✗
5%
19.81
–
Form
Molde – last 6
WWDWLW
25 Oct
vs Fredrikstad
5–1
W
18 Oct
vs Start
6–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ TryggLade
5–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
LWWWWW
25 Oct
@ Strommen
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Haugesund
5–0
W
14 Oct
vs Kongsvinger
5–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lyn
5–1
W
3 Oct
vs Asane
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Raufoss
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Stromsgodset.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Molde vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Molde have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stromsgodset 7%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 6.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 96% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Molde 4–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.8 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Stromsgodset?
Molde vs Stromsgodset (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tromsdalen Uil1
Lyn3
Asane3
hodd0
Egersund1
Bryne0
Kristiansund BK0
Aalesund2
Pors Grenland1
Kongsvinger1
Ranheim2
Fredrikstad5
Rosenborg1
Ham-Kam2
Grorud0
Brann2