Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFredrikstad to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.51
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
The NM Cupen sees Ranheim take on Fredrikstad on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at EXTRA Arena.
Form guide
Ranheim's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Raufoss 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Fredrikstad's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Molde 1–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ranheim arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 1.6 for Ranheim and 2.6 for Fredrikstad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.
Value angle: Fredrikstad to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ranheim 1–2 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ranheim24%fair 4.15 · @3.70
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @3.70
Fredrikstad61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
4.25Expected goals
1.62Ranheim xG
2.63Fredrikstad xG
71%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Ranheim 1.6 – 2.6 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fredrikstad to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Fredrikstad ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fredrikstad / FT Fredrikstad✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.51
–
Form
Ranheim – last 6
WWDLWW
24 Oct
@ Raufoss
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Bryne
4–2
W
14 Oct
@ hodd
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Kongsvinger
2–6
L
2 Oct
vs Egersund
5–0
W
20 Sep
@ Lyn
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LLDDWD
25 Oct
@ Molde
1–5
L
17 Oct
@ Viking
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Tromso
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Valerenga
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Stjørdals-Blink
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ranheim and Fredrikstad.
What is the prediction for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Ranheim have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Fredrikstad 61%.
How many goals will there be in Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Ranheim 1–2 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
Ranheim vs Fredrikstad (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at EXTRA Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tromsdalen Uil1
Lyn3
Asane3
hodd0
Egersund1
Bryne0
Kristiansund BK0
Aalesund2
Molde4
Stromsgodset1
Pors Grenland1
Kongsvinger1
Rosenborg1
Ham-Kam2
Grorud0
Brann2