Value bet: St Albans City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Albans City to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Whitehawk vs St Albans City preview and prediction
The match
The FA Trophy sees Whitehawk take on St Albans City on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Whitehawk's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Cheshunt 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St Albans City's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Carshalton Athletic 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Albans City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.5 for Whitehawk and 2.5 for St Albans City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Whitehawk 23%, draw 16%, St Albans City 61%.
Value angle: St Albans City to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Whitehawk 1–2 St Albans City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Whitehawk23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @3.50
St Albans City61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
4.07Expected goals
1.53Whitehawk xG
2.55St Albans City xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Whitehawk 1.5 – 2.5 St Albans City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Albans City to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
St Albans City ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Albans City / FT St Albans City✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Whitehawk – last 6
DLLLLW
17 Oct
@ Cheshunt
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Whyteleafe
0–5
L
10 Oct
vs Ramsgate
1–4
L
3 Oct
@ Lewes
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Dartford
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Whyteleafe
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St Albans City – last 6
WLWWDW
10 Oct
@ Carshalton Athletic
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Harborough Town
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Bury Town
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Witham Town
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Cray Wanderers
3–3
D
12 Sep
vs Three Bridges
4–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Whitehawk and St Albans City.
What is the prediction for Whitehawk vs St Albans City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Whitehawk vs St Albans City?
On our numbers Whitehawk have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and St Albans City 61%.
How many goals will there be in Whitehawk vs St Albans City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Whitehawk vs St Albans City?
Our predicted score is Whitehawk 1–2 St Albans City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Whitehawk vs St Albans City?
Whitehawk vs St Albans City (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.