FA Trophy · England · Twerton Park
Bath City vs Frome Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Bath City to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bath City 1.6 – 1.3 Frome Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bath City hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 32% for Frome Town.
Bath City have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Frome Town have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Bath City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.6 for Bath City, 1.3 for Frome Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bath City have won 0, Frome Town have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, Bath City to win at 2.20 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bath City to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bath City / FT Bath City ✗ | 28% | 3.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.76 | – |
Form
Bath City – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Havant & Wville | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Hanwell Town | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Evesham United | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Gosport Borough | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Malvern Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Plymouth Parkway | 3–0 | W |
Frome Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Malvern Town | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Chippenham Town | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Sholing | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Yate Town | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Sep | vs Taunton Town | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Willand Rovers | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 31 Aug 2026 | Frome Town v Bath City | 1–0 |
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Chichester City2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Frome Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bath City vs Frome Town?
On our numbers Bath City have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Frome Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Frome Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Bath City vs Frome Town?
Bath City vs Frome Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.