FA Trophy · England
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic prediction & analysis
Redcar Athletic to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ashton United 1.0 – 2.0 Redcar Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Redcar Athletic travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 23% for Ashton United.
Ashton United have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Redcar Athletic have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. Redcar Athletic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 for Ashton United, 2.0 for Redcar Athletic). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ashton United have won 0, Redcar Athletic have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Redcar Athletic to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Redcar Athletic to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Half-time result | Redcar Athletic ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Redcar Athletic / FT Redcar Athletic ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.92 | – |
Form
Ashton United – last 6
| 21 Oct | @ Avro | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Redcar Athletic | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Alfreton Town | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Leek Town | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Quorn | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Warrington Town | 2–2 | D |
Redcar Athletic – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Ashton United | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Avro | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Ilkeston Town | 5–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Curzon Ashton | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Alfreton Town | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Guisborough Town | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 Oct 2026 | Ashton United v Redcar Athletic | 1–2 |
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What is the prediction for Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
Our pick is Redcar Athletic to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
On our numbers Ashton United have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Redcar Athletic 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic?
Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.