Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChertsey Town to win ✓63% · @1.62
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Takeley vs Chertsey Town preview and prediction
The match
The FA Trophy sees Takeley take on Chertsey Town on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Takeley's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Hitchin Town 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chertsey Town's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Evesham United 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Takeley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Takeley and 2.1 for Chertsey Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Takeley 18%, draw 19%, Chertsey Town 63%.
Safer route: Chertsey Town or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chertsey Town to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Takeley 0–2 Chertsey Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Takeley18%fair 5.62 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
Chertsey Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
3.04Expected goals
0.98Takeley xG
2.06Chertsey Town xG
48%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Takeley 1.0 – 2.1 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertsey Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Chertsey Town or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Chertsey Town ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.81
–
Form
Takeley – last 4
WWWL
26 Sep
vs Hitchin Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Aylesbury United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ London Lions
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs Cambridge City
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Chertsey Town – last 6
WLDDWL
20 Oct
vs Evesham United
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Plymouth Parkway
0–2
L
13 Oct
@ Hanwell Town
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Chippenham Town
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Sheppey United
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Poole Town
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Takeley and Chertsey Town.
What is the prediction for Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
Our pick is Chertsey Town to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
On our numbers Takeley have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chertsey Town 63%.
How many goals will there be in Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
Our predicted score is Takeley 0–2 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
Takeley vs Chertsey Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.