Value bet: Waltham Abbey to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaltham Abbey to win ✓42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey preview and prediction
The match
The FA Trophy sees Hastings United take on Waltham Abbey on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hastings United's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Dulwich Hamlet 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Waltham Abbey's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Croydon Athletic 7–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Hastings United and 1.8 for Waltham Abbey. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hastings United 38%, draw 20%, Waltham Abbey 42%.
Value angle: Waltham Abbey to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Hastings United 1–2 Waltham Abbey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hastings United38%fair 2.62 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Waltham Abbey42%fair 2.39 · @2.60
3.52Expected goals
1.72Hastings United xG
1.81Waltham Abbey xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Hastings United 1.7 – 1.8 Waltham Abbey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waltham Abbey to win✓
42%
2.39
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waltham Abbey / FT Waltham Abbey✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Form
Hastings United – last 6
WDWDWL
26 Sep
vs Dulwich Hamlet
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Bognor Regis Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Hendon
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Hashtag United
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Eastbourne United
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Concord Rangers
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waltham Abbey – last 6
WLDWWW
26 Sep
vs Croydon Athletic
7–1
W
22 Sep
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Fakenham Town
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Brantham Athletic
7–0
W
29 Aug
vs Bowers & Pitsea
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hastings United and Waltham Abbey.
What is the prediction for Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?
On our numbers Hastings United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waltham Abbey 42%.
How many goals will there be in Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?
Our predicted score is Hastings United 1–2 Waltham Abbey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?
Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.