Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Purmersteijn to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPurmersteijn to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Purmersteijn vs Gemert preview and prediction
The match
The KNVB Beker sees Purmersteijn take on Gemert on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sportpark Purmersteijn.
Form guide
Purmersteijn's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to TEC 2–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gemert's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Roosendaal 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.0 for Purmersteijn and 1.2 for Gemert. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Purmersteijn to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Purmersteijn 2–1 Gemert. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Purmersteijn59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @3.50
Gemert26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
3.25Expected goals
2.02Purmersteijn xG
1.23Gemert xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Purmersteijn 2.0 – 1.2 Gemert expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Purmersteijn to win✗
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Purmersteijn ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Purmersteijn / FT Purmersteijn✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Purmersteijn – last 6
LWDWLW
25 Oct
@ TEC
2–5
L
17 Oct
vs Sparta Nijkerk
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ ACV
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Harkemase Boys
4–2
W
26 Sep
@ SC Genemuiden
0–2
L
23 Sep
@ Zwaluwen
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gemert – last 6
DWLLWW
24 Oct
@ Roosendaal
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Achilles Veen
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Noordwijk
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs FC Lisse
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Groene Ster
2–1
W
23 Sep
@ Ijsselmeervogels
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Purmersteijn and Gemert.
What is the prediction for Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
On our numbers Purmersteijn have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Gemert 26%.
How many goals will there be in Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
Our predicted score is Purmersteijn 2–1 Gemert, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
Purmersteijn vs Gemert (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Purmersteijn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kozakken Boys0
Utrecht1
ACV0
AFC Amsterdam0
De Treffers1
Heracles0
GVVV Veenendaal3
Noordwijk0
Hoek4
Sparta Nijkerk2
RKAV Volendam3
ROHDA Raalte0
Groningen0
Emmen2