Value bet: AFC Amsterdam to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Amsterdam to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.53
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.65
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam preview and prediction
The match
ACV host AFC Amsterdam in the KNVB Beker on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sportpark ICT Specialist.
Form guide
ACV's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Dovo 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
AFC Amsterdam's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Almere City II 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
ACV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 1.7 for ACV and 3.0 for AFC Amsterdam. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 70%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ACV 21%, draw 16%, AFC Amsterdam 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.53.
Value angle: AFC Amsterdam to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ACV 1–3 AFC Amsterdam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ACV21%fair 4.84 · @3.25
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @3.90
AFC Amsterdam64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
4.75Expected goals
1.75ACV xG
3.00AFC Amsterdam xG
70%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–27%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: ACV 1.7 – 3.0 AFC Amsterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Amsterdam to win✗
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.53 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
AFC Amsterdam ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Amsterdam / FT AFC Amsterdam✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.65
–
Form
ACV – last 6
DWDLWW
24 Oct
vs Dovo
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Hoogeveen
4–1
W
10 Oct
vs Purmersteijn
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ VV Scherpenzeel
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs SVZW
4–0
W
22 Sep
vs Hoogeveen
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Amsterdam – last 6
LLWLLW
24 Oct
vs Almere City II
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Barendrecht
1–4
L
10 Oct
vs Hoek
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Spakenburg
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Katwijk
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Groene Ster
6–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ACV and AFC Amsterdam.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
On our numbers ACV have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and AFC Amsterdam 64%.
How many goals will there be in ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
Our predicted score is ACV 1–3 AFC Amsterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is ACV vs AFC Amsterdam?
ACV vs AFC Amsterdam (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark ICT Specialist.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.