Hoek host Sparta Nijkerk in the KNVB Beker on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sportpark Denoek.
Form guide
Hoek's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Quick Boys 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sparta Nijkerk's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Hoogeveen 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sparta Nijkerk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Hoek and 0.8 for Sparta Nijkerk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Hoek to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Hoek 2–0 Sparta Nijkerk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hoek68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.20
Sparta Nijkerk13%fair 7.95 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.18Hoek xG
0.82Sparta Nijkerk xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Hoek 2.2 – 0.8 Sparta Nijkerk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hoek to win✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Double chance
Hoek or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Hoek ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hoek / FT Hoek✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Hoek – last 6
LDLWLD
24 Oct
@ Quick Boys
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Kozakken Boys
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ AFC Amsterdam
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs De Treffers
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam II
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Almere City II
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sparta Nijkerk – last 6
WLLWWW
24 Oct
vs Hoogeveen
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Purmersteijn
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs VV Scherpenzeel
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ SVZW
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Staphorst
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs UDI '19
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk.
What is the prediction for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Our pick is Hoek to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
On our numbers Hoek have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sparta Nijkerk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Our predicted score is Hoek 2–0 Sparta Nijkerk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Denoek.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kozakken Boys0
Utrecht1
ACV0
AFC Amsterdam0
De Treffers1
Heracles0
GVVV Veenendaal3
Noordwijk0
Purmersteijn0
Gemert0
RKAV Volendam3
ROHDA Raalte0
Groningen0
Emmen2