Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Heerenveen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeerenveen to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceHeerenveen or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.79
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen preview and prediction
The match
Excelsior Maassluis host Heerenveen in the KNVB Beker on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Sportpark Dijkpolder.
Form guide
Excelsior Maassluis's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat EVV 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heerenveen's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat ADO Den Haag 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Excelsior Maassluis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.5 for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.5 for Heerenveen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Heerenveen to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 Heerenveen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excelsior Maassluis14%fair 7.12 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @5.50
Heerenveen68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
2.00Expected goals
0.46Excelsior Maassluis xG
1.54Heerenveen xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–121%
0–216%
0–014%
1–110%
0–38%
1–27%
From our goals model: Excelsior Maassluis 0.5 – 1.5 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heerenveen to win✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Heerenveen or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.79
–
Form
Excelsior Maassluis – last 6
WWWWWW
24 Oct
vs EVV
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Zwaluwen
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs TOGB
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Vvsb
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Blauw Geel
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Sportlust '46
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 6
WWLWDL
24 Oct
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
16 Oct
vs Excelsior
4–0
W
9 Oct
@ PSV Eindhoven
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Telstar
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Maassluis and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is Heerenveen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers Excelsior Maassluis have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Heerenveen 68%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Maassluis 0–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen?
Excelsior Maassluis vs Heerenveen (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Dijkpolder.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.