KNVB Beker · Netherlands · Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard prediction & analysis
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sparta Rotterdam to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Sparta Rotterdam are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 14% for Fortuna Sittard.
Sparta Rotterdam have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.8 per game. Fortuna Sittard have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Fortuna Sittard come into this in clearly the better form.
Our pick is Sparta Rotterdam or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Sparta Rotterdam to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sparta Rotterdam to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sparta Rotterdam or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
Form
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Ajax | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Willem II | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ GO Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Heerenveen | 0–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ PSV Eindhoven | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs PEC Zwolle | 2–2 | D |
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Excelsior | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ NEC Nijmegen | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Twente | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Genk | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Willem II | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ajax | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard.
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Heerenveen2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Sparta Rotterdam or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortuna Sittard 14%.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.