KNVB Beker · Netherlands · De Geusselt
MVV vs Excelsior prediction & analysis
Excelsior to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Excelsior travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 15% for MVV.
MVV have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.0 per game. Excelsior have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Our pick is Excelsior to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Excelsior to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Excelsior or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
Form
MVV – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Den Bosch | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Heracles | 1–5 | L |
| 9 Oct | @ NAC Breda | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ FC OSS | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Helmond Sport | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Waalwijk | 1–6 | L |
Excelsior – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Fortuna Sittard | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Heerenveen | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Groningen | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Ajax | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Utrecht | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ NEC Nijmegen | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Excelsior.
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Heerenveen2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for MVV vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Excelsior to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win MVV vs Excelsior?
On our numbers MVV have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Excelsior 64%.
When is MVV vs Excelsior?
MVV vs Excelsior (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.