Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBistrica to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Bistrica vs Bilje preview and prediction
The match
Bistrica host Bilje in the Cup on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bistrica's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Primorje 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bilje's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Krka 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Bilje 1–4 Bistrica. Across their last 2 meetings Bistrica have won 2, Bilje 0, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Bistrica and 1.2 for Bilje. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bistrica 50%, draw 21%, Bilje 29%.
Value angle: Bistrica to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Bistrica 2–1 Bilje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bistrica50%fair 1.98 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Bilje29%fair 3.44 · @2.62
2.89Expected goals
1.69Bistrica xG
1.21Bilje xG
49%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bistrica 1.7 – 1.2 Bilje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Bistrica vs Bilje?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bilje 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Bilje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Bilje?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 2–1 Bilje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Bilje?
Bistrica vs Bilje (Cup) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tabor Sežana1
Koper0
Triglav1
Nafta1
Brežice2
Aluminij2