Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Penarol vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
Boston River travel to face Penarol in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 26 September (22:30 WAT). Penarol are 5th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Boston River sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Penarol's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Danubio 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Boston River's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Fenix 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Penarol 3–0 Boston River. Across their last 2 meetings Penarol have won 2, Boston River 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Penarol and 0.6 for Boston River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penarol 70%, draw 21%, Boston River 9%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Penarol to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Penarol 2–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penarol70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.00
Boston River9%fair 11.75 · @6.25
2.60Expected goals
2.01Penarol xG
0.58Boston River xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Penarol 2.0 – 0.6 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penarol vs Boston River?
Our pick is Penarol to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Penarol vs Boston River?
On our numbers Penarol have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Boston River 9%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Penarol 2–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Boston River?
Penarol vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
