Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
U1.5
Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.46 – our chance 52% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShenavarsazi Qeshm to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceShenavarsazi Qeshm or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.37
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓52% · @2.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓31% · fair 3.19
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman preview and prediction
The match
Mes Kerman travel to face Shenavarsazi Qeshm in the Azadegan League on Tuesday 20 October (15:00 WAT). Shenavarsazi Qeshm are 2nd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Mes Kerman sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shenavarsazi Qeshm's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Saipa 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mes Kerman's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Mes Rafsanjan 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Shenavarsazi Qeshm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.2 goals: 1.0 for Shenavarsazi Qeshm and 0.2 for Mes Kerman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 88% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 65%, draw 24%, Mes Kerman 11%.
Value angle: Under 1.5 goals at 2.46 – 52% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shenavarsazi Qeshm65%fair 1.55 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.48
Mes Kerman11%fair 8.92 · @6.83
1.20Expected goals
1.04Shenavarsazi Qeshm xG
0.16Mes Kerman xG
27%Both score
12%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–031%
0–030%
2–016%
3–06%
1–15%
0–15%
From our goals model: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1.0 – 0.2 Mes Kerman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Double chance
Shenavarsazi Qeshm or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.46 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shenavarsazi Qeshm / FT Shenavarsazi Qeshm✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
31%
3.19
–
Form
Shenavarsazi Qeshm – last 6
WWDDDD
12 Oct
@ Saipa
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Mes Soongoun
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Novin Ahvaz
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–0
D
11 Jul
@ Ario Eslamshahr
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mes Kerman – last 6
LDDLDL
12 Oct
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–1
L
5 Oct
@ Niroye Zamini
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Saipa
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sanat Naft
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenavarsazi Qeshm and Mes Kerman.
What is the prediction for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Our pick is Shenavarsazi Qeshm to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
On our numbers Shenavarsazi Qeshm have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mes Kerman 11%.
How many goals will there be in Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
We expect about 1.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 12% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Our predicted score is Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1–0 Mes Kerman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.2 goals in total.
When is Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Mes Kerman (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
