Value bet: Ario Eslamshahr to win @ 2.51 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArio Eslamshahr to win ✓43% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.43
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas preview and prediction
The match
The Azadegan League sees Ario Eslamshahr take on Naft Bandar Abbas on Tuesday 20 October, kicking off at 14:15 (WAT). Ario Eslamshahr are 7th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Naft Bandar Abbas sit 14th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ario Eslamshahr's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Be'sat Kermanshah 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Naft Bandar Abbas's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Havadar 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Ario Eslamshahr arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Ario Eslamshahr and 0.8 for Naft Bandar Abbas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ario Eslamshahr 43%, draw 25%, Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.43.
Value angle: Ario Eslamshahr to win at 2.51 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ario Eslamshahr43%fair 2.31 · @2.51
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.62
Naft Bandar Abbas31%fair 3.18 · @2.92
1.81Expected goals
1.01Ario Eslamshahr xG
0.80Naft Bandar Abbas xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 – 0.8 Naft Bandar Abbas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
On our numbers Ario Eslamshahr have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naft Bandar Abbas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Our predicted score is Ario Eslamshahr 1–0 Naft Bandar Abbas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas?
Ario Eslamshahr vs Naft Bandar Abbas (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
