Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKyrgyzstan to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceKyrgyzstan or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Kyrgyzstan take on Lebanon on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kyrgyzstan's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Maldives 5–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Kyrgyzstan and 1.1 for Lebanon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kyrgyzstan 60%, draw 21%, Lebanon 19%.
Safer route: Kyrgyzstan or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kyrgyzstan or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kyrgyzstan 2–1 Lebanon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kyrgyzstan60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.10
Lebanon19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
3.17Expected goals
2.07Kyrgyzstan xG
1.10Lebanon xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kyrgyzstan 2.1 – 1.1 Lebanon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyrgyzstan to win✓
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Kyrgyzstan or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Kyrgyzstan ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyrgyzstan / FT Kyrgyzstan✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Kyrgyzstan – last 3
WDD
28 Sep
vs Maldives
5–0
W
9 Jun
vs Palestine
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Palestine
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lebanon – last 2
WL
1 Oct
@ Maldives
6–0
W
4 Jun
vs Yemen
0–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyrgyzstan and Lebanon.
Our pick is Kyrgyzstan or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?
On our numbers Kyrgyzstan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lebanon 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?
Our predicted score is Kyrgyzstan 2–1 Lebanon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon?
Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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