Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgypt to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceEgypt or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.63
Egypt vs South Africa preview and prediction
The match
Egypt host South Africa in the Friendlies on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Egypt's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat South Sudan 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
South Africa's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Eritrea 5–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Egypt and 0.5 for South Africa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Egypt 64%, draw 21%, South Africa 15%.
Safer route: Egypt or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Egypt to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Egypt 1–0 South Africa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egypt64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.25
South Africa15%fair 6.64 · @4.50
1.88Expected goals
1.42Egypt xG
0.46South Africa xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Egypt 1.4 – 0.5 South Africa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egypt to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Egypt or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egypt / FT Egypt✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.63
–
Form
Egypt – last 6
WDLDDW
29 Sep
@ South Sudan
5–0
W
25 Sep
vs Angola
0–0
D
7 Jul
@ Argentina
2–3
L
3 Jul
@ Australia
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Iran
1–1
D
22 Jun
@ New Zealand
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
South Africa – last 6
WWLWDL
30 Sep
@ Eritrea
5–0
W
26 Sep
vs Guinea
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs Canada
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Czechia
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Mexico
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egypt and South Africa.
Our pick is Egypt to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Egypt vs South Africa?
On our numbers Egypt have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Africa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Egypt vs South Africa?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egypt vs South Africa?
Our predicted score is Egypt 1–0 South Africa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Egypt vs South Africa?
Egypt vs South Africa (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina7
Burkina Faso0
USA3
Mexico0
Brazil U204
Mexico U200
Denmark U203
United States U203
Kyrgyzstan3
Lebanon1