Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Bnei Musmus travel to face Hapoel Nazareth Illit in the State Cup on Monday 12 October (18:00 WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Hapoel Bnei Musmus's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.7 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit and 0.9 for Hapoel Bnei Musmus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Hapoel Bnei Musmus22%fair 4.47 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.73Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
0.94Hapoel Bnei Musmus xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.7 – 0.9 Hapoel Bnei Musmus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.38
–
Form
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
WLWWDD
8 Oct
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tamra
2–3
L
24 Sep
@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2–2
D
25 May
vs Hapoel Acre
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hapoel Bnei Musmus – last 6
DWDLLD
9 Oct
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0–0
D
30 Sep
vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
1–0
W
23 Sep
@ Tira
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Beitar Nahariya
1–2
L
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Bnei Musmus 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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