Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Yarka host Beitar Nahariya in the State Cup on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Beitar Nahariya's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Hapoel Yarka and 2.3 for Beitar Nahariya. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Beitar Nahariya to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Yarka13%fair 7.69 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.00
Beitar Nahariya69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
3.15Expected goals
0.87Hapoel Yarka xG
2.28Beitar Nahariya xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Hapoel Yarka 0.9 – 2.3 Beitar Nahariya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beitar Nahariya to win✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Beitar Nahariya or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Half-time result
Beitar Nahariya ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beitar Nahariya / FT Beitar Nahariya✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Hapoel Yarka
No recent results on record.
Beitar Nahariya – last 6
DLWWWW
9 Oct
vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1–1
D
30 Sep
@ Ironi Nesher
1–4
L
23 Sep
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Yarka and Beitar Nahariya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Our pick is Beitar Nahariya to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
On our numbers Hapoel Yarka have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Beitar Nahariya 69%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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