Value bet: Hapoel Herzliya to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Herzliya to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceHapoel Herzliya or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor preview and prediction
The match
The State Cup sees Hapoel Herzliya take on Hapoel Azor on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hapoel Herzliya's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Azor's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Herzliya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Hapoel Herzliya and 0.9 for Hapoel Azor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Hapoel Herzliya or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Hapoel Herzliya to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hapoel Herzliya 2–0 Hapoel Azor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Herzliya58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.20
Hapoel Azor16%fair 6.34 · @3.80
2.78Expected goals
1.87Hapoel Herzliya xG
0.91Hapoel Azor xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Herzliya 1.9 – 0.9 Hapoel Azor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Herzliya to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Herzliya or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Hapoel Herzliya ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Herzliya / FT Hapoel Herzliya✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Hapoel Herzliya – last 6
DDWDWW
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Ashdod
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Azor – last 6
DDWLWL
8 Oct
@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–1
D
1 Oct
@ Hapoel Sderot
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Herzliya and Hapoel Azor.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor?
On our numbers Hapoel Herzliya have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hapoel Azor 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Herzliya 2–0 Hapoel Azor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor?
Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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