Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Jordan to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJordan to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceJordan or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Jordan vs Venezuela preview and prediction
The match
Venezuela travel to King Abdullah II Stadium in the Friendlies on Tuesday 6 October (18:00 WAT) to face Jordan.
Form guide
Jordan's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Syria 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Venezuela's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with South Korea 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Venezuela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Jordan and 0.9 for Venezuela. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jordan 59%, draw 23%, Venezuela 18%.
Safer route: Jordan or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Jordan to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jordan or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jordan 1–0 Venezuela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jordan59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Venezuela18%fair 5.59 · @3.70
2.78Expected goals
1.86Jordan xG
0.92Venezuela xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Jordan 1.9 – 0.9 Venezuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jordan to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Jordan or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Jordan ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jordan / FT Jordan✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Jordan – last 6
DLLLLL
27 Sep
vs Syria
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Argentina
1–3
L
23 Jun
vs Algeria
1–2
L
17 Jun
@ Austria
1–3
L
8 Jun
@ Colombia
0–2
L
31 May
@ Switzerland
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venezuela – last 5
DLWLW
2 Oct
@ South Korea
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Japan
1–2
L
10 Jun
@ Iraq
2–0
W
6 Jun
vs Türkiye
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Trinidad and Tobago
4–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jordan and Venezuela.
Our pick is Jordan or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jordan vs Venezuela?
On our numbers Jordan have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venezuela 18%.
How many goals will there be in Jordan vs Venezuela?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Venezuela?
Our predicted score is Jordan 1–0 Venezuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jordan vs Venezuela?
Jordan vs Venezuela (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah II Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.