Nigeria travel to Nizhny Novgorod Stadium in the Friendlies on Tuesday 6 October (17:00 WAT) to face Russia.
Form guide
Russia's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Namibia 6–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nigeria's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Guinea-Bissau 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Russia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Russia and 0.7 for Nigeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Russia 69%, draw 21%, Nigeria 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.97.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Russia to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.58, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Russia 2–0 Nigeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Russia69%fair 1.45 · @1.58
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Nigeria10%fair 10.08 · @5.70
2.75Expected goals
2.07Russia xG
0.68Nigeria xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: Russia 2.1 – 0.7 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✗
69%
1.45
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.97
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Russia – last 6
WWWWLD
3 Oct
vs Namibia
6–0
W
29 Sep
vs Iran
2–0
W
9 Jun
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
3–0
W
28 May
@ Egypt
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Mali
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 6
LWLDWD
29 Sep
@ Guinea-Bissau
0–3
L
25 Sep
vs Madagascar
2–1
W
10 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Nigeria.
Our pick is Russia to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Russia vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Russia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nigeria 10%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Russia 2–0 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Nigeria?
Russia vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Korea2
Uzbekistan0
Denmark U191
Netherlands U191
China0
Tajikistan1
India1
Uruguay6
Portugal U194
Austria U190
Jordan0
Venezuela0
Algeria2
Niger1