Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.69Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRussia to win ✓77% · @1.12
Double chanceRussia or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Russia vs Namibia preview and prediction
The match
Russia host Namibia in the Friendlies on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Russia's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Iran 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Namibia's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Comoros 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Russia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for Russia and 0.5 for Namibia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Russia 77%, draw 17%, Namibia 6%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.69, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Russia 2–0 Namibia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Russia77%fair 1.30 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @7.30
Namibia6%fair 16.82 · @22.00
2.71Expected goals
2.23Russia xG
0.49Namibia xG
46%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–015%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Russia 2.2 – 0.5 Namibia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✓
77%
1.30
1.12
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.69 ▲
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Russia – last 6
WWWLDW
29 Sep
vs Iran
2–0
W
9 Jun
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
3–0
W
28 May
@ Egypt
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Mali
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Nicaragua
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Namibia – last 3
LWL
29 Sep
@ Comoros
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Congo
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Kazakhstan
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Namibia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.
Who will win Russia vs Namibia?
On our numbers Russia have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Namibia 6%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Namibia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Namibia?
Our predicted score is Russia 2–0 Namibia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Namibia?
Russia vs Namibia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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