Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanada to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceCanada or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Canada vs Peru preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Canada take on Peru on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Canada's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Chile 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Peru's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Mexico 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Canada arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Canada and 0.7 for Peru. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canada 64%, draw 21%, Peru 15%.
Safer route: Canada or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Canada to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Canada 1–0 Peru. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canada64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Peru15%fair 6.45 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.78Canada xG
0.72Peru xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Canada 1.8 – 0.7 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✓
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Canada – last 6
WLWLWD
27 Sep
vs Chile
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Morocco
0–3
L
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peru – last 5
DLLWD
30 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ USA
1–4
L
9 Jun
vs Spain
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Haiti
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Peru.
Our pick is Canada to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Canada vs Peru?
On our numbers Canada have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peru 15%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Peru?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Peru?
Canada vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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