Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cuba to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuba to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceCuba or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.03
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees St. Kitts and Nevis take on Cuba on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Form guide
St. Kitts and Nevis's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Grenada 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Cuba's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Bonaire 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for St. Kitts and Nevis and 1.9 for Cuba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Kitts and Nevis 14%, draw 23%, Cuba 63%.
Safer route: Cuba or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cuba to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cuba or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Kitts and Nevis 0–1 Cuba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Kitts and Nevis14%fair 7.35 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Cuba63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
2.75Expected goals
0.80St. Kitts and Nevis xG
1.95Cuba xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: St. Kitts and Nevis 0.8 – 1.9 Cuba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuba to win✗
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cuba or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Cuba ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuba / FT Cuba✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.03
–
Form
St. Kitts and Nevis – last 4
WWWL
29 Sep
vs Grenada
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Bonaire
2–1
W
30 Mar
vs Solomon Islands
4–2
W
27 Mar
@ Indonesia
0–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cuba – last 3
WWD
28 Sep
vs Bonaire
2–0
W
25 Sep
@ Grenada
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ Martinique
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Kitts and Nevis and Cuba.
What is the prediction for St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
Our pick is Cuba or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
On our numbers St. Kitts and Nevis have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cuba 63%.
How many goals will there be in St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
Our predicted score is St. Kitts and Nevis 0–1 Cuba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba?
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Hasely Crawford Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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