Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosta Rica to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceCosta Rica or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @2.05
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.51
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Nicaragua take on Costa Rica on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.
Form guide
Nicaragua's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Curaçao 1–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Costa Rica's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Haiti 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.3 goals: 1.5 for Nicaragua and 3.7 for Costa Rica. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nicaragua 8%, draw 18%, Costa Rica 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nicaragua 1–3 Costa Rica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nicaragua8%fair 12.69 · @12.00
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @5.50
Costa Rica74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
5.25Expected goals
1.53Nicaragua xG
3.72Costa Rica xG
66%Both score
89%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
2–45%
1–55%
From our goals model: Nicaragua 1.5 – 3.7 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Rica to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Double chance
Costa Rica or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Costa Rica ahead at half-time✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Costa Rica / FT Costa Rica✗
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.51
–
Form
Nicaragua – last 5
LLLDL
28 Sep
@ Curaçao
1–6
L
25 Sep
@ Dominican Republic
2–3
L
5 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–4
L
29 May
@ South Africa
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Russia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Costa Rica – last 5
LLLLD
28 Sep
@ Haiti
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Curaçao
3–4
L
10 Jun
@ England
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Iran
0–5
L
27 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nicaragua and Costa Rica.
What is the prediction for Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?
On our numbers Nicaragua have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Costa Rica 74%.
How many goals will there be in Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 89% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?
Our predicted score is Nicaragua 1–3 Costa Rica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Nicaragua National Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cayman Islands0
Puerto Rico3
Dominican Republic1
Haiti4
St. Lucia3
Guadeloupe0
St. Kitts and Nevis3
Cuba3
Suriname0
Guatemala0