Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Haiti to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaiti to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceHaiti or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Dominican Republic vs Haiti preview and prediction
The match
Haiti travel to Félix Sánchez Olympic Stadium in the CONCACAF Nations League on Friday 2 October (01:00 WAT) to face Dominican Republic.
Form guide
Dominican Republic's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Trinidad and Tobago 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Haiti's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Costa Rica 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dominican Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.2 for Dominican Republic and 2.5 for Haiti. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dominican Republic 16%, draw 19%, Haiti 65%.
Safer route: Haiti or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Haiti to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Haiti or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dominican Republic 1–2 Haiti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dominican Republic16%fair 6.21 · @3.75
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.70
Haiti65%fair 1.55 · @1.80
3.75Expected goals
1.23Dominican Republic xG
2.52Haiti xG
66%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–17%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dominican Republic 1.2 – 2.5 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haiti to win✓
65%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Haiti or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Haiti ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haiti / FT Haiti✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Dominican Republic – last 4
WWLD
28 Sep
@ Trinidad and Tobago
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Nicaragua
3–2
W
4 Jun
@ Panama
2–4
L
27 Mar
vs El Salvador
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Haiti – last 6
WWLLLL
28 Sep
vs Costa Rica
2–0
W
25 Sep
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–2
W
24 Jun
@ Morocco
2–4
L
20 Jun
@ Brazil
0–3
L
14 Jun
vs Scotland
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Peru
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dominican Republic and Haiti.
What is the prediction for Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Our pick is Haiti or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
On our numbers Dominican Republic have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Haiti 65%.
How many goals will there be in Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Our predicted score is Dominican Republic 1–2 Haiti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Dominican Republic vs Haiti?
Dominican Republic vs Haiti (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Félix Sánchez Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cayman Islands0
Puerto Rico3
Nicaragua0
Costa Rica3
St. Lucia3
Guadeloupe0
St. Kitts and Nevis3
Cuba3
Suriname0
Guatemala0