El Salvador travel to Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera in the CONCACAF Nations League on Tuesday 29 September (03:00 WAT) to face Guatemala.
Form guide
Guatemala's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Jamaica 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
El Salvador's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Martinique 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Salvador arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.4 for Guatemala and 2.1 for El Salvador. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guatemala 42%, draw 24%, El Salvador 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guatemala 2–2 El Salvador. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guatemala42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
El Salvador34%fair 2.91 · @3.50
4.50Expected goals
2.35Guatemala xG
2.15El Salvador xG
69%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–26%
3–15%
From our goals model: Guatemala 2.4 – 2.1 El Salvador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guatemala to win✓
42%
2.39
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Guatemala ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guatemala / FT Guatemala✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
15.15
–
Form
Guatemala – last 4
LLLL
26 Sep
@ Jamaica
2–3
L
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.8Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
El Salvador – last 5
WDLWD
26 Sep
vs Martinique
3–1
W
6 Jun
@ Qatar
0–0
D
4 Jun
@ South Korea
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Martinique
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Dominican Republic
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guatemala and El Salvador.
What is the prediction for Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Guatemala vs El Salvador?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Salvador 34%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs El Salvador?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 2–2 El Salvador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Guatemala vs El Salvador (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jamaica0
Honduras1
St. Kitts and Nevis3
Grenada0
St. Lucia5
Bermuda2