Jamaica vs Honduras prediction & analysis
Jamaica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jamaica 3.2 – 1.8 Honduras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Jamaica are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 13% for Honduras.
Jamaica have taken 10 points from their last 4 matches (3W 1D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Honduras have 1 points from their last 3 (0W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded. Jamaica come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.0 goals (3.2 for Jamaica, 1.8 for Honduras). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–1 (7%), 2–1 (6%), 3–2 (6%).
Our pick is Jamaica or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Jamaica to win at 1.85 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jamaica to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Jamaica or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Jamaica ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jamaica / FT Jamaica ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 7% | 14.84 | – |
Form
Jamaica – last 4
| 26 Sep | vs Guatemala | 3–2 | W |
| 27 May | vs India | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Congo DR | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ New Caledonia | 1–0 | W |
Honduras – last 3
| 26 Sep | vs Suriname | 2–3 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Argentina | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Peru | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Honduras.
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Guatemala6
El Salvador0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jamaica vs Honduras?
Our pick is Jamaica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jamaica vs Honduras?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Honduras 13%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Honduras?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Jamaica vs Honduras?
Jamaica vs Honduras (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Independence Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.